Sand Spring Advisors LLC
Has Natural Gas Fallen Too Far?
February 25, 2002
by, Barclay T. Leib
Chart produced using Advanced GET End-of-Day
From the California energy crisis of 2000, natural gas prices have fallen precipitously, but is that a relatively complete looking Fibonacci rhythm that we spy above? Certainly a bounce toward .40 cents looks possible.
We say this also aware that the period over the next few days, specifically between February 25th and March 3rd, is a high risk period for substantive earthquakes. This is because the February 27th Full Moon also brings a tight perigee of the Moon to the Earth (within 200 miles of its closest possible distance) at a time when the Earth is still also very close to the Sun (perihelion, the closest separation of the Earth and Sun having occured within the past two months).
The overall result, at a minimum, will be far higher tides than normal -- over an 8 foot tide at San Francisco's Golden Gate Bridge and over a 14 foot tide in Puget Sound. All the pushing and pulling from the Moon and Sun would also make this a high-risk window for an earthquake. And where earthquakes strike, natural gas pipelines get disrupted.
Am I stretching the thought process here? Perhaps, but it is something current speculators short the energy complex might want to consider.
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